Prediction of Franco Roncadelli vs Nicolas Mejia at Cali Challenger 10-09-25

• How does recent form second serve performance look like? Nicolas Mejia has won 43.76% of his second serve points in the last six months, slightly lower than Franco Roncadelli's 44.10%.
• Return game stats show that Nicolas Mejia has achieved 44.14% on opponents' second serve points and 29.12% on first serve returns. Meanwhile, Franco Roncadelli has bettered these with 45.26% on second serve returns and 34.05% on first.
• In pressure situations, Mejia has saved 55.66% of breakpoints, surpassing Roncadelli's 51.32%, suggesting Mejia might handle high-stakes moments better.
• Looking at performance over the last year, Mejia has a 52.86% match win rate (37 wins, 33 losses), while Roncadelli leads with 58.73% (37 wins, 26 losses).
• Both players excel on clay, with an identical career win percentage of 58%, but Mejia struggles on grass and Roncadelli on hard courts.
• They participate mostly in Challengers/ITF > $10K tournaments and have almost identical success rates, with Mejia at 53.45% and Roncadelli at 53.85%.
• Nicolas Mejia has faced opponents with an average rank of 349.49 in the past year, higher than Roncadelli's average opponent rank of 405.56, indicating Mejia has faced stronger competition.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Roncadelli has a slight edge with a 61% win rate, compared to Mejia’s 58%.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

In examining the recent performance metrics and historical data of Nicolas Mejia and Franco Roncadelli, we observe very close second serve percentages with Roncadelli having a minor edge.

Roncadelli also shows stronger return stats, both on first and second serves, suggesting he might have an advantage in return games.

However, Mejia outperforms on breakpoints saved, and he has faced higher-ranked opponents, indicating his competitive experience may be more robust.

Both players perform well on clay; however, Mejia's vulnerability on grass will not be a factor here.

Considering all statistics and current form, Franco Roncadelli appears slightly more favored to win the upcoming match, given his higher win rate and marginally better return game performance.